There are roughly 25,000 to 30,000 PR's award per year. Of the race ratios we know that Singapore uses migration to counter the low TFR in the Chinese pop'n and to grow population (I can't cite the report right now but I've seen this laid out in their white papers and reported on this forum before) hence you cannot use the existing race ratios (76, 15, 7.4 nd a measly 1.5% for "others") in exact proportion work out the 'bucket size' available for each race as the Chinese bucket needs to be bigger. However my assumption is that the India bucket is taking the brunt right now thanks to the CECA cockup and is heavily downsized - that might leave 2% available for others which at 25,000 p.a. means only 500 successful "other" PR's awarded and maybe only 250?Cameron_ wrote: ↑Sat, 03 Jul 2021 5:22 pmIs there any data available on the the number of "Others" living in Singapore as non-residents, or any data on how many others apply for PR? I'm trying to get a rough idea of my odds of getting PR in the distant future, and I'm having a hard time finding any data. The SG gov's census website only showed ethnic data for residents, which makes it difficult to gauge how many people from a given ethic group apply per year.MOCHS wrote: ↑Sat, 03 Jul 2021 5:19 pmThere’s the CMIO race quota (Chinese, Malay, Indian, Others) to maintain the social fabric of Singapore. Majority of the quota is allocated to the Chinese, then Malays, followed by Indians, and the smallest percentage goes to Others.
So, imagine if you’re in the Others quota and (for example) 1000 PR is granted to Others every year but 5000 Others applicants apply for PR in one particular year, then there’s only a 20% chance of success.
Of those they are mostly breeders or potential breeders and a tiny balance of superstars and a fairly heft tilt towards family ties basis as well. A 50 yo PTS Single caucasian applicant from the finance industry would have almost no chance for example.
I've written and analyzed this before but I'm going to add a new twist - I think the RACE of your spouse in the Family Ties PR category may also matter. If you're married to a Chinese because your kids can now legally call themselves "Chinese" and not something else that may go in your favour.
Does that help?