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UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 12:43 pm

Barnsley wrote:Its a long way down for the Lib Dems...
They made their bed at the last election though.


Yes quite, that's life... going to bed with the enemy.


Latest headline: - 'Green Party Leader Natalie Bennett fails to win seat'. Heavens, some big beasts being toppled tonight!
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 12:55 pm

FTSE pre-open +97, +1.4%. Interesting to see how this pans out when the market opens in 2 hours time.
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 12:56 pm

Danny Alexander - Chief Sec to the Treasury (LibDem) - > out
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 1:10 pm

George Galloway -> Out

A very very controversial MP (personal friend and supporter of Saddam Hussein etc)


... Might Ed Balls topple next? ...
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby bgd » Fri, 08 May 2015 1:14 pm

Conservatives might be 1 seat short of a majority.

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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 1:21 pm

bgd wrote:Conservatives might be 1 seat short of a majority.



Might require a coalition with the DUP in Northern Ireland, but the consequances of that are insignificant vs the Tory+LibDem coalition... I think they need either 323, or 325, for an outright majority.

But they still might form a coalition to make it less knife-edge, and to counter their own rebels.

.... the Biggest shock to me is the almost total LibDem wipe out... plus all the 'big names' from across the board finished.

Sterling up 1.5-2% (the biggest move in a few years!)
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby Barnsley » Fri, 08 May 2015 2:07 pm

JR8 wrote:
bgd wrote:Conservatives might be 1 seat short of a majority.



Might require a coalition with the DUP in Northern Ireland, but the consequances of that are insignificant vs the Tory+LibDem coalition... I think they need either 323, or 325, for an outright majority.

But they still might form a coalition to make it less knife-edge, and to counter their own rebels.

.... the Biggest shock to me is the almost total LibDem wipe out... plus all the 'big names' from across the board finished.

Sterling up 1.5-2% (the biggest move in a few years!)


Sinn Fein never turn up so technically they need less than what should be required.

Also if Speaker and Deputy Speaker are non-Tory then its even less.

Maybe a wafer thin Majority might be best who knows?

I think there will be some deabte on PR again , as I read that UKIP sadly getting around 3.5m votes, hopefully this is a one off and tehy wont be heard of again, and getting maybe 1 seat , and SNP getting 1.5m votes for 50+ seats.
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 2:14 pm

Barnsley wrote:Sinn Fein never turn up so technically they need less than what should be required.
Also if Speaker and Deputy Speaker are non-Tory then its even less.
Maybe a wafer thin Majority might be best who knows?
I think there will be some deabte on PR again , as I read that UKIP sadly getting around 3.5m votes, hopefully this is a one off and tehy wont be heard of again, and getting maybe 1 seat , and SNP getting 1.5m votes for 50+ seats.



Yes, interesting point.
True, as Speaker/Dep-Speaker can't vote

'First past the post' brings some weird results, like UK getting 10% of the vote but only 1 MP.

Ed Balls getting a recount right now. [Couldn't happen to a 'nicer' guy lol].

p.s. FTSE spread-bet in the pre-open market now +120pts
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 3:18 pm

Rumour: (via BBC Nick Robinson) - Ed Balls, Shadow Chancellor, has lost by 300 votes.

[Recount continues]
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 3:20 pm

Ed Balls is out > another big-beast gone, by just 400 votes.

Horrible man - good riddance.
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 9:02 pm

SNP ... 1,454,436 votes …. 4.8% nationally … 56 seats.
UKIP .. 3,830,029 votes …. 12.6% nationally … 1 seat.


And we think we have fairer and more representative political system?
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby x9200 » Fri, 08 May 2015 9:45 pm

JR8 wrote:SNP ... 1,454,436 votes …. 4.8% nationally … 56 seats.
UKIP .. 3,830,029 votes …. 12.6% nationally … 1 seat.


And we think we have fairer and more representative political system?

If you have no people the voters would trust even the best ideas are worth close to nothing.

Funny enough, we have a presidential election this coming Sunday and one of the right wing, very controversial and radical candidate predicted precisely just 2 days ago what would happen to UKIP. He publicly declared that if he was to be wrong, he would quit the election.

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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Fri, 08 May 2015 10:02 pm

Ed Miliband (Lab - 'Leader of the Opposition') is out, resigned.

Pretty brutal night
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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby Primrose Hill » Mon, 11 May 2015 12:23 pm

bloodbath.
Wonder what's install for us in the horizon?

At some point Osborne & Co will have to tackle the huge deficit.

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Re: UK General Election (7-May) - timeline in SG

Postby JR8 » Mon, 11 May 2015 12:49 pm

Well the FTSE seems pretty damned relieved!

It appears that Cameron might be planning a policy blitz whilst the opposition remain in disarray, and before the summer recess => 22/7 - 1/9.
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