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Russia is F#*ked!

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Barnsley
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Re: Russia is F#*ked!

Postby Barnsley » Wed, 31 Dec 2014 11:42 am

JR8 wrote:http://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Did-The-Saudis-And-The-US-Collude-In-Dropping-Oil-Prices.html

'The oil price drop that has dominated the headlines in recent weeks has been framed almost exclusively in terms of oil market economics, with most media outlets blaming Saudi Arabia, through its OPEC Trojan horse, for driving down the price, thus causing serious damage to the world's major oil exporters – most notably Russia.

While the market explanation is partially true, it is simplistic, and fails to address key geopolitical pressure points in the Middle East.

Oilprice.com looked beyond the headlines for the reason behind the oil price drop, and found that the explanation, while difficult to prove, may revolve around control of oil and gas in the Middle East and the weakening of Russia, Iran and Syria by flooding the market with cheap oil.
' [continues, at length]


I have read that it is a political move ... however its come about then it surely must be for the benefit of most. The High price of oil benefited a lot fewer people I think than a lower price will.

Although it does look like its going to impact a lot of jobs in Oil industry in the US.
Life is short, paddle harder!!

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aster
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Re: Russia is F#*ked!

Postby aster » Mon, 05 Jan 2015 1:58 am

Russia's economy is a one trick pony and reality has finally hit the fan.

Russia is like a guy high on dope who thinks he's superman and that he can fly. In truth they are a superpower on the same level that their Rouble (or rather Rubble) is a global super-currency. :) Their economy is the size of Italy, that's it. But compared to Italy, the Russian economy is so primitive it cannot even be compared like-for-like.

So what's all this hype about Russia being strong and all? Well, in fact there is no such hype. Russia is a nation that feeds itself on internal propaganda - they have no intent of anyone else believing their fairytales of how strong & powerful they are. All they want is for their own people to be fed with such stories. Hence, all the circus acts they do are merely staged for their own people, for their own internal reasons. That is what keeps them going internally.

Now the West has been happy to keep them weak while allowing them to portray themselves back home as a serious and strong player in the world, and everything has worked until recently those up top have started getting high on their own propaganda. Now they've stepped out of line, violated the international status quo and brought a lot of unnecessary attention upon themselves for all the wrong reasons.

For every reaction there is an equal and opposite reaction, but with Russia the reaction needs to be much stronger. That is the only way to beat any sense into their minds, because they themselves do not comprehend any other method of action. Now the West is patient and has no need to play its own propaganda game, so this is a game of smiling at the table whilst delivering very painful and hard blows under it. And Russia is getting hit hard as we speak.

The country is in financial meltdown, the currency is on the verge of a collapse and any time now we'll see a new freefall of currency rates against the USD/EUR, there is no financing available for any of its projects. And best of all Russia is now pinned down and in a situation where they are stuck with no feasible means of escape.

Russia is so weak that the only sanctions it tried to implement ended up with them shooting themselves in the foot, with food costs spiralling out of control, which in turn will see inflation shoot up. So much for Russia's answer after all those threats (as mentioned, nothing more than propaganda for their own people). And the West hasn't even broken a sweat yet, this is only the beginning of sanctions. If the US and the EU strike a free trade agreement, gas/oil will be freely traded between the two. If a decision is made to exclude Russia from the SWIFT system, its finances today will look like Eldorado compared to what they will look like tomorrow.

Time will tell, but right now I foresee low oil/gas prices for many years to come, and Russia stuck in a headlock that it cannot get out of. Double-bonus on all accounts, let's keep things this way.


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